UPDATE: 11 AM Tuesday Hurricane Michael Now Packing 110 MPH Winds

posted by Operation Storm Watch - 

Miami, Fla. (970 WFLA)- At 11:00 AM EDT,  the eye of Hurricane Michael was located near latitude 25.0 North, longitude 86.2 West. Michael is moving toward the north near 12 mph.   It's about 360 miles south of Panama City, Florida, and about 335 miles south-southwest of Apalachicola, Florida

A northward motion is expected through tonight, followed by a northeastward motion on Wednesday and Thursday.   On the forecast track, the center of Michael will move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico through tonight. 

The center of Michael is then expected to move inland over the Florida Panhandle or Florida Big Bend area on Wednesday, and then move northeastward across the southeastern United States Wednesday night and Thursday, and move off the Mid-Atlantic coast away from the United States by Friday.

Data from NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is expected, and Michael is forecast to be a major hurricane at landfall in Florida. Weakening is expected after landfall as Michael moves through the southeastern United States.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). 

NOAA buoy 42003 recently reported 1-minute mean winds of 45 mph (72 km/h) and a wind gust of 56 mph (91 km/h).

The latest minimum central pressure based on data from the aircraft is 965 mb (28.50 inches).

The Hurricane Watch for the coast of Alabama has been discontinued.

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida to Anclote River Florida

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Anclote River Florida to Anna Maria Island Florida, including Tampa Bay

 * Alabama/Florida border to Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Alabama/Florida border to Suwannee River Florida

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Alabama/Florida border to the Mississippi/Alabama border 

* Suwanee River Florida to Chassahowitzka Florida

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Chassahowitzka to Anna Maria Island Florida, including Tampa Bay 

* Mississippi/Alabama border to the Mouth of the Pearl River 

* Fernandina Beach Florida to South Santee River South Carolina

STORM SURGE:  The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the potential to reach the following heights above ground if peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Indian Pass FL to Cedar Key FL...8-12 ft

Cedar Key FL to Crystal River FL...6-8 ft 

Okaloosa/Walton County Line FL to Indian Pass FL...6-9 ft 

Crystal River FL to Aripeka FL...4-6 ft 

Aripeka FL to Anna Maria Island FL including Tampa Bay...

2-4 ft Alabama/Florida border to Okaloosa/Walton County Line FL...2-4 ft


RAINFALL:  Michael is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts through Friday...

Western Cuba...4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches. This rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

Florida Panhandle and Big Bend, southeast Alabama, and southern Georgia...4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches. This rainfall could lead to life threatening flash floods.

Eastern Georgia, the Carolinas, and southern Virginia...3 to 6 inches. This rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash floods.

Florida Peninsula, eastern Mid Atlantic, southern New England coast...1-3 inches.

Graphic Credit: NHC Miami






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