Tracking Two Tropical Systems

posted by Steve Hall - 

Atlantic Tropical Systems on 8/31/18

Miami, Fla.-(Newsradio 970 WFLA)-The National Hurricane Center continues to track two systems. Potential Tropical Cyclone Six is expected to grow into a hurricane this weekend, but is forecast to stay out in the Atlantic Ocean. The other system will bring rain to Florida late in the weekend, but could become a storm when it gets out over the warm Gulf of Mexico.

Here are the latest advisories.....

Potential Tropical Cyclone Six Public Advisory                     

The disturbance was centered near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 23.3 West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion with a slight
increase in forward speed is expected to continue for the next three
to four days.  On the forecast track, the disturbance is expected to
continue moving near or over the southern Cabo Verde Islands as a
tropical storm tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next several days, and
the disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm later today
or Saturday.

Environmental conditions are favorable for the system to become a
tropical cyclone later today or tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours... high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

Tropical wave advisory....             

Disorganized cloudiness and showers extending from Hispaniola
northeastward to the adjacent Atlantic are associated with a
tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough. This activity
is forecast to spread westward to west-northwestward enhancing the
rainfall across portions of Hispaniola, the Bahamas, the Turks and
Caicos Islands, and Florida into early next week.  Strong
upper-level winds will prevent any development of this system during
the next 2 to 3 days, but environmental conditions could become less
hostile when the system reaches the eastern Gulf of Mexico during
the early to middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Graphic courtesy National Hurricane Center



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